A critical skill of an Emergency Manager is the ability to evaluate material associated with the Emergency Management Cycle and provide feedback to those that are part of your community or organization so that everything is done to mitigate and prepare for any emergency or disaster that may impact you.
This week I want you to choose one of your classmate’s documents; HVA Hazard Risk Index and Hazard Profile Worksheet, evaluate each and provide feedback to him/her. Even though we all used the same fictitious city, each may have viewed the hazards, priorities, and risks differently. Please provide constructive feedback; feedback that will assist them in making their documents better.
See attached documents
250-300 words each and no reference needed
>Cover
Vulnerability Assessment
9, 2020
59 Toolkit
Completed by: Nancy McLin yrs
Moderate Major 5-10 yrs Regional Moderate Major 5-10 yrs Localized Moderate Major 5-10 yrs Localized Low Minor 2-3 yrs Localized Low Minor every year Localized Moderate Major every year Localized 0 degrees F Low None every year Regional Location: Bobsville, OK High Major 50 yrs Regional Moderate Minor 10 yrs County-wide Moderate Major 5-10 yrs Localized Moderate Major 10 yrs Localized Moderate Major every year Localized Low Minor 10 yrs Localized Moderate Major 2-3 yrs County-wide Low Minor 10 yrs Localized Low Major 10 yrs County-wide Low Minor 10 yrs County-wide Adapted from FEMA IS-559 Toolkit Location: Bobsville, OK High Major 50 yrs Regional Moderate Minor 10 yrs County-wide Low None 5-10 yrs Localized Low None every year Localized Moderate Major several times per year Localized Moderate Major 2-3 yrs Localized High Major every year Localized Adapted from FEMA IS-559 Toolkit Location: Bobsville, OK Risk
Low – 1 Low – 1 Low – 1 Low – 1 Low – 1 Low – 2 Low – 2 Low – 2 Low – 2 Low – 2 Med – 3 Med – 3 Med – 3 Med – 3 Med – 3 High – 4 High – 4 High – 4 High – 4 High – 4 High – 5 High – 5 High – 5 High – 5 High – 5 4 4 4 4 5 3 3 2 4 4 4 4 5 3 3 2 3.875 4 4 4 4 5 3 3 2 3.875 5 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 5 4 2 2 3 2 1 1 5 3 4 4 5 3 3 2 3.875 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 1 2.25 Location: Bobsville, OK Sourced from Hazard Vulnerability Matrix Has not occurred – 1 < 5% - 1 Low - 1 Low - 1 Low - 1 Low - 1 Low - 1 Low - 1 Low: < 2.0
Every 51-100 yrs - 2 5-10% - 2 Low - 2 Low - 2 Low - 2 Low - 2 Low - 2 Low - 2
Every 11-50 yrs - 3 10-20% - 3 Med - 3 Med - 3 Med - 3 Med - 3 Med - 3 Med - 3 Med: 2.1-3.5
Every 5-10 yrs - 4 20-40% - 4 High - 4 High - 4 High - 4 High - 4 High - 4 High - 4 High: > 3.5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 4 3 3 3 3 2.75 1 1 4 4 5 3 3 3 3 1 2 3 4 1 1 1 1 3.25 1 2 3 2 5 3 3 3 2.75 2.25 Location: Bobsville, OK 5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 4 2 3 1 2 1 1 2 3.25 5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2.5 2.25 Location: Bobsville, OK Negligible Low Limited Critical High Catastrophic Likely Critical Minimal Critical High High Medium High High Medium Adapted from FEMA IS-559 Toolkit Location: Bobsville, OK Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Adapted from FEMA IS-559 Toolkit Location: Bobsville, OK Hazard Frequency Magnitude Warning Time Severity Special Characteristics & Planning Considerations Risk Priority Low Low Low Likely Limited Minimal Critical Medium Medium Adapted from FEMA IS-559 Toolkit Toolkit IS-559 / G-556 Toolkit
Student Name: M N
HAZARD: Tornado
Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected):
☐ Catastrophic: More than 50% ☒ Critical: 25 to 50%
☐ Limited: 1 0 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%
Frequency of Occurrence:
☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year
☒ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years
Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A
Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Regional
Probable Duration: Less than 10 minutes.
Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time):
☒ Minimal (or no) warning
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None
Complete Vulnerability Analysis:
☒ Yes
☐ No
Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position
Hazard Profile Worksheet
HAZARD: Blizzards
Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected): ☐ Catastrophic: More than 50% Frequency of Occurrence: ☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year
Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): Likely to happen during Winter months.
Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized
Probable Duration: Over 3 Hours
Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time): ☐ Minimal (or no) warning ☐ 6 to 12 hours warning ☒ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: N/A
Complete Vulnerability Analysis: ☒ Yes Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position Hazard Profile Worksheet
HAZARD: Snowfall
Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected): ☐ Catastrophic: More than 50% Frequency of Occurrence: ☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): Likely to happen during Winter months. Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized
Probable Duration: Unknown
Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time): ☐ Minimal (or no) warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:
☒ Yes Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position Hazard Profile Worksheet
HAZARD: Drought
Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected): ☐ Catastrophic: More than 50%
☐ Critical: 25 to 50%
☒ Limited: 10 to 25% ☐ Negligible: Less than 10% Frequency of Occurrence: ☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year
Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): Likely to happen during Summer months.
Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized
Probable Duration: Years
Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time): ☒ Minimal (or no) warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:
☒ Yes Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position Hazard Profile Worksheet
HAZARD: Earthquake
Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected): ☐ Catastrophic: More than 50% ☒ Negligible: Less than 10% Frequency of Occurrence: ☒ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year ☐ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years ☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized
Probable Duration: 10-30 seconds
Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time): ☒ Minimal (or no) warning Complete Vulnerability Analysis: ☒ Yes Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position Hazard Profile Worksheet
HAZARD: Flooding
Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected): ☐ Catastrophic: More than 50% Frequency of Occurrence: ☒ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A
Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized
Probable Duration: Days to weeks.
Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time): ☐ Minimal (or no) warning ☒ 6 to 12 hours warning ☐ 12 to 24 hours warning ☒ Yes Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position Hazard Profile Worksheet
HAZARD: (Extreme) Temperatures
Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected): ☐ Catastrophic: More than 50% Frequency of Occurrence: ☒ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year
Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): Extreme hot temperatures are likely to happen during Summer months and extreme cold temperatures are likely to happen during Winter months.
Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Regional
Probable Duration: Days-Months (dependent on weather)
Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time): ☐ Minimal (or no) warning ☒ 12 to 24 hours warning ☐ More than 24 hours warning ☒ Yes Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position Hazard Profile Worksheet
HAZARD: Communications Failure
Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected): ☐ Catastrophic: More than 50% Frequency of Occurrence: ☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized Probable Duration: Unknown Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time): ☒ Minimal (or no) warning ☒ Yes Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position Hazard Profile Worksheet
HAZARD: Plane/Auto Crash
Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected): ☐ Catastrophic: More than 50% Frequency of Occurrence: ☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized Probable Duration: Unknown Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time): ☒ Minimal (or no) warning ☒ Yes Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position Hazard Profile Worksheet
HAZARD: Transportation
Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected): ☐ Catastrophic: More than 50% Frequency of Occurrence: ☒ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized Probable Duration: Unknown Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time): ☒ Minimal (or no) warning ☒ Yes Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position Hazard Profile Worksheet
HAZARD: Infrastructure
Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected): ☐ Catastrophic: More than 50% Frequency of Occurrence: ☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized Probable Duration: Unknown Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time): ☒ Minimal (or no) warning ☒ Yes Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position Hazard Profile Worksheet
HAZARD: Electrical Failure
Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected): ☐ Catastrophic: More than 50% Frequency of Occurrence: ☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A
Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): County-wide
Probable Duration: Unknown Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time): ☒ Minimal (or no) warning ☒ Yes Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position Hazard Profile Worksheet
HAZARD: Fuel Shortage
Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected): ☐ Catastrophic: More than 50% Frequency of Occurrence: ☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized Probable Duration: Unknown Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time): ☒ Minimal (or no) warning ☒ Yes Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position Hazard Profile Worksheet
HAZARD: Nuclear Power Plant
Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected): ☐ Catastrophic: More than 50% Frequency of Occurrence: ☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): County-wide Probable Duration: Unknown Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time): ☒ Minimal (or no) warning ☒ Yes Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position Hazard Profile Worksheet
HAZARD: Water Treatment Plant
Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected): ☐ Catastrophic: More than 50% Frequency of Occurrence: ☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): County-wide Probable Duration: Unknown Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time): ☒ Minimal (or no) warning ☒ Yes Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position Hazard Profile Worksheet
HAZARD: Civil Disturbances
Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected): ☐ Catastrophic: More than 50% Frequency of Occurrence: ☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized Probable Duration: Unknown Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time): ☒ Minimal (or no) warning ☒ Yes Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position Hazard Profile Worksheet
HAZARD: Crime
Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected): ☐ Catastrophic: More than 50% Frequency of Occurrence: ☒ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized Probable Duration: Unknown Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time): ☒ Minimal (or no) warning ☒ Yes Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position Hazard Profile Worksheet
HAZARD: Work Stoppage
Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected): ☐ Catastrophic: More than 50% Frequency of Occurrence: ☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year ☒ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years ☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized Probable Duration: Unknown Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time): ☒ Minimal (or no) warning ☒ Yes Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position Hazard Profile Worksheet
HAZARD: Structural
Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected): ☐ Catastrophic: More than 50% Frequency of Occurrence: ☐ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized Probable Duration: Unknown Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time): ☒ Minimal (or no) warning ☒ Yes Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position Hazard Profile Worksheet
HAZARD: Negligence
Potential Magnitude (Percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected): ☐ Catastrophic: More than 50% Frequency of Occurrence: ☒ Highly Likely: Near 100% probability in next year Seasonal Pattern (if applicable): N/A Areas Likely To Be Affected Most (by Sector): Localized Probable Duration: Unknown Potential Speed of Onset (Probable amount of warning time): ☒ Minimal (or no) warning ☒ Yes Adapted from FEMA’s EMI course IS-1 Emergency Manager: An Orientation to the Position 20 1
2
Hazard
Location:
Date Updated:
Thursday, March
1
Completed by:
Nancy McLin
Adapted from FEMA IS-
5
Matrix-Nat
Hazard Vulnerability Matrix – Natural
Location:
Bobsville, OK
Date Completed:
Thursday, March 19, 2020
Hazard
Probability
Impact
Frequency
Distribution
List specific hazards which could occur in your community. Include only natural hazards.
High
Major
50 yrs
Regional
Moderate
Minor
10 yrs
County-wide
Low
None
5-10 yrs
Localized
None
2-
3
N/A
every year
several times per year
Tornados
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
Located in the heartland of American where tornados happen the most.
Blizzards
Snowfall
Drought
Earthquakes
Flooding
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– melting snow from 25 inches of snowfall could potentially cause flooding.
Temperatures
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
Winters =
4
Summers = 85 degrees F
Spring/Fall = avg 65 degrees F
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
Located in the heartland of American where tornados happen the most.
Adapted from FEMA IS-559 Toolkit
Matrix-Tech
Hazard Vulnerability Matrix – Technological
Date Completed: Thursday, March 19, 2020
Completed by: Nancy McLin
Hazard Probability Impact Frequency Distribution
List specific hazards which could occur in your community. Include only technology-caused hazards.
Low None 5-10 yrs Localized
None 2-3 yrs N/A
every year
several times per year
Communications Failure
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– There is only 1 radio station, local internet provider, 2 cell phone transmitters.
Plane/Auto Crash
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– There are no stoplights and only 4-way stop signs at all intersections. Accidents are prone on busier streets and the Town Center.
– Emergency vehicles could potentially have a difficult time traveling to/from emergencies.
– Only one repair shop in town for vehicles. Wait times for preventive maintence could pose an issue.
– one ambulance that is old and has over 100k miles.
– helicopter training base near town.
– regional airport is next to the helicopter base
– commercial flights take off 3 times a day.
Transportation
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– Only 1 ambulance for medical transport.
Infrastructure
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
Unfinished mall used for “ilicit activities”
Electrical Failure
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– high tension power lines follow major highway from the county’s nuclear power plant that proivdes power to the area.
Fuel Shortage
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
There are only 2 gas stations.
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– There is only 1 radio station, local internet provider, 2 cell phone transmitters.
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– There are no stoplights and only 4-way stop signs at all intersections. Accidents are prone on busier streets and the Town Center.
– Emergency vehicles could potentially have a difficult time traveling to/from emergencies.
– Only one repair shop in town for vehicles. Wait times for preventive maintence could pose an issue.
– one ambulance that is old and has over 100k miles.
– helicopter training base near town.
– regional airport is next to the helicopter base
– commercial flights take off 3 times a day.
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– Only 1 ambulance for medical transport.
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
Unfinished mall used for “ilicit activities”
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– high tension power lines follow major highway from the county’s nuclear power plant that proivdes power to the area.
Nuclear Power Plant
Water Treatment Plant
Matrix-Man
Hazard Vulnerability Matrix – Human
Date Completed: Thursday, March 19, 2020
Completed by: Nancy McLin
Hazard Probability Impact Frequency Distribution
List specific hazards which could occur in your community. Include only adversarial or human-caused hazards on this tab.
Low None 5-10 yrs Localized
None 2-3 yrs N/A
every year
several times per year
Civil Distubrances
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
has been at least 5 yrs since anyone was escorted from the meetings by the Sheriff.
Crime
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– Crime is “virtually non-existent” – in the past yr, 3 arrests (2 for public intoxication, 1 for egging Sheriff’s car.)
– Building that was meant for potential mall is out of shape due to neglect because of funding; sometimes gets used for “ilicit activities” usually on weekends after HS football games.
– Crime could increase during events (festivals, football games, etc) and when Univerisity is in session due to population increase.
Work Stoppage
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– there are mulitple important officials wearing multiple hats.
Structural
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– 1 road leading in & out of the golf course where EM couduct full scale exercises.
Negligence
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– It’s implied that since there is no full time EMS staff for the one ambulance, Jack (car dealership owner and once an up & coming dirt track racer) would be the driver.
Vuln-Nat
Hazard Vulnerability Spreadsheet – Natural
Date Completed:
Friday, March 20, 2020
Completed by:
Nancy O. McLin
Type of Hazard
Historical Occurrence
Probability of Occurence
Human Impact
Property Impact
Business Impact
Mitigation Activities
Internal Resources
External Resources
Total
Sourced from Hazard Vulnerability Matrix
Has not occurred – 1
< 5% - 1
Low – 1
Low: < 2.0
Every 51-100 yrs – 2
5-10% – 2
Low – 2
Every 11-50 yrs – 3
10-20% – 3
Med – 3
Med: 2.1-3.5
Every 5-10 yrs – 4
20-40% – 4
High – 4
High: > 3.5
Every 1-4 yrs – 5
> 40% – 5
High – 5
Tornado
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– Last 10 years (3 EF2 tornadoes, 1 EF4 tornado & 1 EF5)
3.875
Blizzards
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– Last 10 years, 6 crippling blizzards.
– Snowfall in excess of 24 inches
Snowfall
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– 6 crippling blizzards w/ snowfall in excess of 24 inches.
Drought
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
Serious drought that lasted 3 years, 9 years ago.
3.25
Earthquakes
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– 25 earthquakes (3.0 & up) since the town’s founding in 20003.75
Flooding
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– Could potentially be flooding from 25 inches of melted snow.
– Lakes could rise.
Temperatures
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
Winters = 40 degrees F
Summers = 85 degrees F
Spring/Fall = avg 65 degrees F
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– Last 10 years (3 EF2 tornadoes, 1 EF4 tornado & 1 EF5)
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– Last 10 years, 6 crippling blizzards.
– Snowfall in excess of 24 inches
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– 6 crippling blizzards w/ snowfall in excess of 24 inches.
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
Serious drought that lasted 3 years, 9 years ago.
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– 25 earthquakes (3.0 & up) since the town’s founding in 2000
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– Could potentially be flooding from 25 inches of melted snow.
– Lakes could rise.
2.75
2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
Adapted from FEMA IS-559 Toolkit
Vuln-Tech
Hazard Vulnerability Spreadsheet – Technological
Date Completed: Friday, March 20, 2020
Completed by: Nancy O. McLin
Type of Hazard Historical Occurrence Probability of Occurence Human Impact Property Impact Business Impact Mitigation Activities Internal Resources External Resources Total
Every 1-4 yrs – 5 > 40% – 5 High – 5 High – 5 High – 5 High – 5 High – 5 High – 5
Communications Failure
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– 1 radio station (AM/FM)
-1 local affiliate station
-1 local internet provider
(underground cable broadband service)
-2 cell phone transmitters
-high tension power lines leading from Diasaster County Nuclear Power Plant
2.5
Plane/Auto Crash
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
-There are no stoplights in Bobsville. There are 4-way stop signs at all intersections.
– Nothing states it has happened before.
– There are no stoplights and only 4-way stop signs at all intersections. Accidents are prone on busier streets and the Town Center.
– Emergency vehicles could potentially have a difficult time traveling to/from emergencies.
– Only one repair shop in town for vehicles. Wait times for preventive maintence could pose an issue.
– one ambulance that is old and has over 100k miles.
– helicopter training base near town.
– regional airport is next to the helicopter base
– commercial flights take off 3 times a day.
Transportation
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
Only 1 ambulance for medical transport
Infrastructure
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
Unfinished mall used for illicit activites
Electrical Failure
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– high tension power lines follow major highway from the county’s nuclear power plant that proivdes power to the area.
Fuel Shortage
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
There are only 2 gas stations. 1 1 3 1 3 2 2 2
2.625
Nuclear Power Plant 1 1 5 3 5 4 3 3
2.875
Water Treatment Plant 1 1 4 3 3 3 2 1 3
2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
Adapted from FEMA IS-559 Toolkit
Vuln-Man
Hazard Vulnerability Spreadsheet – Human
Date Completed: Thursday, March 19, 2020
Completed by: Nancy O. McLin
Type of Hazard Historical Occurrence Probability of Occurence Human Impact Property Impact Business Impact Mitigation Activities Internal Resources External Resources Total
Sourced from Hazard Vulnerability Matrix Has not occurred – 1 < 5% - 1 Low - 1 Low - 1 Low - 1 Low - 1 Low - 1 Low - 1 Low: < 2.0
Every 51-100 yrs - 2 5-10% - 2 Low - 2 Low - 2 Low - 2 Low - 2 Low - 2 Low - 2
Every 11-50 yrs - 3 10-20% - 3 Med - 3 Med - 3 Med - 3 Med - 3 Med - 3 Med - 3 Med: 2.1-3.5
Every 5-10 yrs - 4 20-40% - 4 High - 4 High - 4 High - 4 High - 4 High - 4 High - 4 High: > 3.5
Every 1-4 yrs – 5 > 40% – 5 High – 5 High – 5 High – 5 High – 5 High – 5 High – 5
Civil Disturbances
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– Has been 5 years since anyone has been escorted from town council meetings.
Crime
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
-3 people arrested in the past year (1 for egging the Sheriff’s car & 2 public intoxication)
– illicit activities increase during high school football season.
Work Stoppage
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– Multiple people filling double rolls within the community.
Structural
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– A failed attempt at a mall is left in bad shape due to funding and has been a place for illicit activities
Ngeligence
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
Utilizing Jack (prior up & coming dirt track racer) to drive the ambulance – unqualified
2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
2.25
Adapted from FEMA IS-559 Toolkit
RiskIdx-Nat
Hazard Risk Index – Natural
Date Completed: Thursday, March 19, 2020
Completed by: Nancy McLin
Hazard Frequency
Magnitude
Warning Time
Severity
Special Characteristics & Planning Considerations
Risk Priority
Sourced from Hazard Vulnerability Matrix
Unlikely
Negligible
24+ hours
Possible
Limited
12-24 hours
Medium
Likely
Critical
6-12 hours
Highly Likely
Catastrophic
Minimal
Tornados
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
Located in the heartland of American where tornados happen the most.
In the past 10 years: 3 EF2, 1 EF4, 1 EF5May require county assistance for medical care for any casualties.
Blizzards Likely Critical 24+ hours Critical
County assistance may be required for salting and clearing roads.
Snowfall Likely Critical 24+ hours Limited County assistance may be required for salting and clearing roads. High
Drought Likely Limited Minimal Limited
Water rationing may be required; usage amounts per households will vary.
Earthquakes Highly Likely Negligible Minimal Limited
3.0 magnitude earthquakes could potentially cause some damage to weaken infrastructure and communications transmitters and towers.
Flooding
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– melting snow from 25 inches of snowfall could potentially cause flooding.
Highly Likely Limited 6-12 hours Limited
Town topography is flat. Lake is larger than the city and is the town’s only reservoir. Consider use of sand bags for certain areas via hazard mapping.
Temperatures
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
Winters = 40 degrees F
Summers = 85 degrees F
Spring/Fall = avg 65 degrees F Highly Likely Negligible 12-24 hours Negligible
Implement heat stress & cold weather monitoring.
RiskIdx-Tech
Hazard Risk Index – Technological
Date Completed: Thursday, March 19, 2020
Completed by: Nancy McLin
Hazard Frequency Magnitude Warning Time Severity Special Characteristics & Planning Considerations Risk Priority
Sourced from Hazard Vulnerability Matrix Unlikely Negligible 24+ hours Negligible Low
Possible Limited 12-24 hours Limited Medium
Likely Critical 6-12 hours Critical High
Highly Likely Catastrophic Minimal Catastrophic Communications Failure
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– There is only 1 radio station, local internet provider, 2 cell phone transmitters. Likely Critical Minimal Limited
There are only two cell phone transmitters. Consider two-way radios on standby for emergencies.
Plane/Auto Crash
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– There are no stoplights and only 4-way stop signs at all intersections. Accidents are prone on busier streets and the Town Center.
– Emergency vehicles could potentially have a difficult time traveling to/from emergencies.
– Only one repair shop in town for vehicles. Wait times for preventive maintence could pose an issue.
– one ambulance that is old and has over 100k miles.
– helicopter training base near town.
– regional airport is next to the helicopter base
– commercial flights take off 3 times a day.
Likely Critical Minimal Critical
May require county assistance for medical care for casualties.
Transportation
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– Only 1 ambulance for medical transport.
Highly Likely Limited Minimal Limited May require county assistance for medical care for casualties. Medium
Infrastructure
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
Unfinished mall used for “ilicit activities” Likely Negligible Minimal Critical
Block off abandoned buidling. Increase security patrols for safety measures.
Electrical Failure
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– high tension power lines follow major highway from the county’s nuclear power plant that proivdes power to the area. Likely Limited Minimal Limited
Consider generators for major generatiors and quarterly tests and maintenance.
Fuel Shortage
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
There are only 2 gas stations. Likely Limited Minimal Limited
There are only two gas stations. Consider state assistance for potential shortages.
Nuclear Power Plant Likely Critical Minimal Critical
Standardize safe evacuation routes for citizens.
Water Treatment Plant Likely Limited Minimal Limited
Potential for flooding. Elevate structures.
RiskIdx-Man
Hazard Risk Index – Human
Date Completed: Thursday, March 19, 2020 Completed by:
Sourced from Hazard Vulnerability Matrix Unlikely Negligible 24+ hours Negligible Low
Possible Limited 12-24 hours Limited Medium
Likely Critical 6-12 hours Critical High
Highly Likely Catastrophic Minimal Catastrophic Civil Distubrances
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
has been at least 5 yrs since anyone was escorted from the meetings by the Sheriff. Likely Negligible Minimal Limited
Although rare, continue to provide security for town council meetings.
Crime
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– Crime is “virtually non-existent” – in the past yr, 3 arrests (2 for public intoxication, 1 for egging Sheriff’s car.)
– Building that was meant for potential mall is out of shape due to neglect because of funding; sometimes gets used for “ilicit activities” usually on weekends after HS football games.
– Crime could increase during events (festivals, football games, etc) and when Univerisity is in session due to population increase. Highly Likely Limited Minimal Limited
Although low crime rate, continue to provide security and high vigilence for potential crime.
Work Stoppage
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– there are mulitple important officials wearing multiple hats. Possible Limited Minimal Limited
Multiple potential single point of failures with dual-hatted officials.
Structural
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– 1 road leading in & out of the golf course where EM conduct full scale exercises. Consider multiple routes for emergency vehicles during FSE and Real World events.
Negligence
Microsoft Office User: Microsoft Office User:
– It’s implied that since there is no full time EMS staff for the one ambulance, Jack (car dealership owner and once an up & coming dirt track racer) would be the driver. Highly Likely Limited Minimal Limited
Jack needs official training and licensing to drive the ambulance.
IS-559 / G-556
Hazard Profile Worksheet
☒ Critical: 25 to 50%
☐ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%
☒ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ No
☒ Critical: 25 to 50%
☐ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%
☒ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☒ More than 24 hours warning
☐ No
☒ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
☐ No
☐ Critical: 25 to 50%
☐ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None
☐ No
☐ Critical: 25 to 50%
☒ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%
☐ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:
☐ No
☐ Critical: 25 to 50%
☐ Limited: 10 to 25%
☒ Negligible: Less than 10%
☐ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:
☐ No
☒ Critical: 25 to 50%
☐ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%
☒ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:
☐ No
☒ Critical: 25 to 50%
☐ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%
☒ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:
☐ No
☐ Critical: 25 to 50%
☒ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%
☐ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:
☐ No
☐ Critical: 25 to 50%
☐ Limited: 10 to 25%
☒ Negligible: Less than 10%
☒ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:
☐ No
☐ Critical: 25 to 50%
☒ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%
☒ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:
☐ No
☐ Critical: 25 to 50%
☒ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%
☒ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:
☐ No
☒ Critical: 25 to 50%
☐ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%
☒ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:
☐ No
☐ Critical: 25 to 50%
☒ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%
☒ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:
☐ No
☐ Critical: 25 to 50%
☐ Limited: 10 to 25%
☒ Negligible: Less than 10%
☒ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:
☐ No
☐ Critical: 25 to 50%
☒ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%
☐ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:
☐ No
☐ Critical: 25 to 50%
☒ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%
☐ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:
☐ No
☐ Critical: 25 to 50%
☒ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%
☒ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:
☐ No
☐ Critical: 25 to 50%
☒ Limited: 10 to 25%
☐ Negligible: Less than 10%
☐ Likely: 10-100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years
☐ Possible: 1-10% probability in next year, or at least one chance in next 100 years
☐ Unlikely: Less than 1% probability in next 100 years
☐ 6 to 12 hours warning
☐ 12 to 24 hours warning
☐ More than 24 hours warning
Existing Warning Systems: None Complete Vulnerability Analysis:
☐ No